Not your common or garden British flurry that shuts down our country for 3 days or more. The stuff that is falling at the moment is the “stop all activity and hibernate” real McCoy.

Hopefully I’ll be able to fly home Saturday.

Howerver as I wrote previously, I am amazing by the accuracy and efficiency of the betting market and with the advent of Betfair, their market seems to factor each and every piece of data (inside knowledge, other handicappers, arber’s, market forces, hype etc) to produce what is a very fair assessment of the chances for each and every contender in the horse race

Maybe I’m deluding myself and in reality the races I am punting should be passed frequently i.e “no play” and bets only placed when an edge is detected and the bookmakers are defenceless?

Maybe I should abide by Cramers mantra

There will be two main reasons for completely bypassing races and these reasons are equivalent to an inverted definition of wager value

1. No horses in the field carry any positive factors which have been identified as having wager value
2. The handicapper fails to come up with any insight for the race which would differ from what the public is expected to find

The question remains though if I am to become a pro how can I find enough lucrative opportunities to provide an income?

Under consideration at the moment are

1. In low grade All Weather handicaps forgo the tissue creation process and let Betfair do the work?
2. Expand my betting armoury i.e. look for other betting opportunities such as “Lays”, “Exactas”, “Tote Placepot”, “Trading”
3. Expand my activities into other sports?

Related Posts

• Mass Delusion of Crowds
• Favourite Countermeasures – The Sequal
• The Curse of the Legitimate Favourite
• The Name is Complier, Odds Compiler
• Skin in the Game
• Thou Shalt Know Thy Track
• Expected Value
• Subconscious Handicapping
• Handicapping Process
• Betfair Bootcamp