Sunday October 16, 2011 11:04

Oktoberfest Bath

Posted by slipperytoad as Uncategorized

Mr X, an old work colleague and I are attending the final meeting of 2011 at Bath. Obviously bets a plenty as we all like a punt

During the preparation of my battle plan, noticed some interesting insights from the blokes at Sporting Index.

STOP ON WINNER: SELL 39 – 42 BUY
Suggests the first 3 favourites are vulnerable but the jolly in the 4th looks nailed on. A possible angle might be to BUY then look to bail out when the spread is adjusted in the 15:05

Settled @ 20

DISTANCES (F): SELL 11.5 – 12.5 BUY
My calculations suggest much tighter margins between first and second over the 8 races today. SELL

Settled @ 10

DANE O NEILL(7) SELL 31 – 34 BUY
SILVESTRE DE SOUSA (6) SELL 31 – 34 BUY
With 25 points for a win and 10 points for 2nd suggests that the spread Tefal heads don’t expect the mounts ridden by these jocks to do well. I have factored this into my decision making process.

Dane O Neill (7) Index Settled @ 45
Silvestre De Sousa (6) Index Settled @ 50

Ratings

13:30

1st Carinya (IRE) 4/1jf

14:00

1st El Dececy (USA) 9/2fav

15:05

1st Hidden Valley 8/1

16:10

1st Blazing Field 8/1

16:40

1st Tegan 4/1

17:15

For those who are betting in this race we salute you!

1st Seeking Magic 11/4fav

 

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