In the second of my “Redux” series I focus my favourite racecourse, Dundalk
Dundalk was only opened in August 2007 and therefore the normal course related stats and facts are yet to be established. This presents a problem for punters who follow course trends and an opportunity for those of us who are focusing our attention into unearthing what the future trends will be.
In fact, Dundalk flies under the radar of most punters and racing journalists hence my partner in crime and I take regular trips to the emerald isle to monitor profitable patterns not in the public domain and while we are there, have a bloody good crack at the same time!
Our next trip is on the 30th September and very much looking forward to the Diamond Stakes.
If you put yourself through some metal gymnastics, Dundalk’s course layout is similar to Wolverhampton’s i.e. flat as a billiard table and tight bends.
Running the numbers via Proform Professional, although the data is limited, the patterns I outlined in my post on Wolverhampton follow similar trends so I will only highlight the key statistics:
Apply the pareto principle suggests that winners are distributed among a limited set of trainers and jockeys
The Dundalk pace bias indicates that you need an “up with the pace” running style (L = Led, P = prominent) for distances up to 8 furlongs and I have confirmed this in numerous on/off course observations.
You would think given the long straights, horses coming off the pace would have enough time to catch the front runners, however the polytrack surface at Dundalk rides like the fibresand surface at Southwell; once you get out in front, it’s hard to be reigned back. Only time will tell whether the bias toward pace horses prevails.
Combine this with a low stall berth, the punting pointers for Dundalk are for the moment, simple
- Favour horses drawn low
- Favour horses that like to run up with the pace
- Races at Dundalk are won by limited set of trainers and jockeys.
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Tags: Dundalk